Wallet digest

active

Activity score

74/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

155

Open notional

$617.36

Total PnL

$-839.07

Realised

$-40.52

Win rate

67%

6 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 155

NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$94.00
$-1.00
NO
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$37.57
$3.18
NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$36.75
$-3.25
NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
47 shares @ 86.3¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$34.72
$-5.95
NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 92.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$26.55
$-1.15
NO
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$19.14
$2.74
YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$19.07
$0.67
NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$18.70
$-0.30
NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$18.70
$0.70
NO
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$18.70
$0.50

Recent activity

YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$172.60May 27, 06:39 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity46 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence20 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry22 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 4
Avg trade size: $97.96
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 1, 00:14 UTC
Last active: Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
Win rate sample: 6 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:05:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data