Ordinary-Semicircle
0x126cba0793c3d5039eef277e35a3671a171d7ed9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$92.48
Total PnL
$-134.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed rate cut by May 1?
67 shares @ 29.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2024$66.96
$46.96
- NO
Young Thug found guilty of racketeering?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$13.89
$8.89
- NO
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2024$11.63
$6.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?
120 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
111 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-65.34
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
94 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-76.79
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q1 2024?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$76.79Mar 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in Q1 2024?$20.00Mar 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$20.00Mar 10, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEM'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?$0.00Mar 10, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's Starship launch before March?$22.73Mar 10, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMCZ jail before March?$36.59Mar 10, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden join NATO by February 29?$57.47Mar 10, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$21.27Feb 5, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$0.00Feb 5, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30?$0.00Feb 5, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?$0.00Feb 5, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?$21.28Feb 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$44.07Feb 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by May 1?$15.00Feb 5, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?$15.00Feb 5, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMTaiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?$38.96Feb 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden join NATO by February 29?$50.00Feb 5, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?$14.93Feb 5, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden join NATO by January 31?$50.63Feb 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100?$10.00Jan 6, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $21.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".