0x12784c89580924c5934139298502bf86aef628a3
0x12784c89580924c5934139298502bf86aef628a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.64
Realised
$12.50
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.