Costly-Saxophone
0x127f9cd75ab9472cad44fed19327eabf03a0b1cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
9 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Later in this video" during his next video?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" 3+ times during his next video?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?$1.37Jan 12, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?$1.75Sep 18, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.41Sep 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Later in this video" during his next video?$1.00Sep 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Later in this video" during his next video?$1.00Sep 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Challenge" 3+ times during his next video?$1.00Sep 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?$1.00Sep 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?$1.00Sep 17, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 3, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBezos divorce in 2025?$1.00Aug 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBezos divorce in 2025?$1.00Aug 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$1.10Jul 31, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$1.00Jul 31, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.01Jul 30, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$1.13Jul 30, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?$1.00Jul 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$1.02Jul 25, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".