Daring-Bidet
0x12808a8d2867c3918f3e45820cface78de28bb52
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$1.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$1.7KMay 26, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$1.7KMay 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$1.7KMar 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$1.7KMar 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$1.7KFeb 21, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$1.7KFeb 21, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$1.7KJan 24, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$240.24Jan 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$240.00Dec 27, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$229.92Dec 27, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$229.00Nov 15, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 17?$229.23Oct 19, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 17?$229.00Oct 16, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?$930.93May 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?$930.00Apr 26, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$928.93Apr 26, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$928.00Mar 28, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$922.92Mar 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$922.00Mar 16, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$929.72Mar 11, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $920.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.