Cautious-Salami
0x128cd861e622eb5951c55b730ec60115a46bad12
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$12.5K
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
48%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
12400 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.4K
$104.21
- NO
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
166 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$124.50
$6.64
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
9791 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.47
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
8524 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-379.15
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?
8050 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-244.93
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
7883 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-420.90
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
6063 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-549.50
- NO
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
6000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
5324 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
4809 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-753.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$71.00May 14, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$47.54May 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$11.9KMay 14, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.5KMay 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.0KMay 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?$58.31May 12, 02:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$5.77May 11, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$10.00May 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$2.23May 11, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$9.8KMay 11, 01:08 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11.0KMay 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$7.69May 11, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 11, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.09May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$39.27May 10, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.4KMay 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$36.00May 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$41.90May 10, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$11.00May 10, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $790.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".