Bubbly-Basin
0x1290f38d640721da4563920aaedd65d5d5bea62d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-140.49
Realised
$26.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
104 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?
46 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during Mamdani events on November 21?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
26 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Giuliani" during Mamdani events on November 21?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at AmericaFest events on December 21?$4.00Dec 21, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" 4+ times at AmericaFest events on December 21?$10.00Dec 21, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$0.00Dec 21, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$12.20Dec 20, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.13Dec 16, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?$10.00Dec 12, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$11.63Dec 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Recession" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.00Dec 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ANO form a government after Czech election ?$10.08Dec 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?$10.00Dec 10, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$10.17Dec 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$7.00Dec 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Dec 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Dec 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 8 - 14)$11.98Dec 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 8 - 14)$11.00Dec 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?$10.00Dec 4, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "I like this guy" in December?$20.27Dec 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "I like this guy" in December?$15.00Nov 25, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".