Instructive-Gaffer
0x129558a9630d6a89bb40555cebea6fdbaded2c54
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$44.27
Total PnL
$-76.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
22 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$22.31
$6.47
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.93
$4.03
- YES
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.78
$4.78
- PAUL
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
463 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$15.84Oct 4, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.90Oct 4, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$21.09Oct 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$10.90Oct 4, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Cartman make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$0.00Oct 4, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Cartman make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$11.49Oct 4, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Cartman make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$10.00Sep 24, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz$3.23Sep 24, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Sep 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Sep 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in September?$5.00Sep 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Sep 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz$2.00Sep 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?$2.00Sep 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$5.00Sep 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$2.00Sep 2, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on August 31?$3.13Sep 2, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$22.56Aug 29, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$4.00Aug 29, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.00Aug 29, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 4, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".