Frosty-Poker
0x1295cdd96703397d6b0699f653b243f6b1c56c80
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$41.18
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.00Jul 26, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFartcoin all time high before August?$40.00Jul 26, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$10.03Jul 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$20.51Jul 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMChina bans US films before July?$511.09Jul 26, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina bans US films before July?$509.56Jun 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$10.00Jun 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$20.00Jun 25, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$16.01Jun 25, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMOX.FUN insolvent before April?$20.39Jun 25, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$502.85Jun 25, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before April?$15.00Mar 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOX.FUN insolvent before April?$20.00Mar 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$500.00Mar 18, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$20.00Mar 18, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$19.76Dec 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$535.07Nov 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$537.12Nov 21, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$537.00Nov 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$359.79Oct 30, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $213.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.