Flamboyant-Pile
0x12971f34ab7ed428b04b610e51e9f1c88861d0d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-186.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$300.00
$42.00
- NO
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?
200 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$200.00
$112.00
- YES
New Pope in 2025?
200 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$200.00
$56.00
- YES
New Pope before July?
150 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$150.00
$106.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$104.26
$4.26
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
101 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$101.11
$3.54
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$51.00
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$37.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
100 shares @ 46.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$100.00
$53.30
- NO
Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$100.00
$12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?$50.00Mar 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?$50.00Mar 17, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.13Mar 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?$126.00Mar 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.16Mar 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.02Mar 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.07Mar 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.04Mar 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.02Mar 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?$0.03Mar 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.31Mar 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.02Mar 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.03Mar 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.04Mar 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.27Mar 11, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$25.61Mar 11, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.00Mar 11, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope before July?$17.40Mar 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$21.23Mar 10, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$13.20Mar 10, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $16.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".