Welcome-Lily
0x12984219dee0e727a9a85066ab6e9f3f4aeb4658
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$263.86
Total PnL
$-10.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
123 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$123.00
$0.49
- NO
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?
44 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$44.00
$0.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
33 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$33.00
$0.07
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.97
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
18 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.97
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
14 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.83
$0.25
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
12 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Mike Rogers be Trump's Defense Secretary?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
23 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
21 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$32.94May 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.96May 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$17.95May 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$122.54May 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?$43.84May 4, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$113.62May 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$100.14May 4, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$11.04May 4, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$10.95May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB dip to $300 in April?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$15.00May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?$17.40May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.09May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$25.99May 4, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $24.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".