Hard-Asphalt-Disarmament
0x1299044b81e199b8f29b8ed8383944ccbdc3fd0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-901.45
Realised
$130.00
Win rate
10%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
462 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
424 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
385 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-123.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
346 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
316 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
218 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
186 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
174 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
137 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$10.43Aug 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.23Aug 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.06Aug 13, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.32Aug 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.07Aug 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.02Aug 13, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.89Aug 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.37Aug 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.38Aug 13, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.08Aug 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.06Aug 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Aug 13, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.37Aug 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$26.89Aug 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$10.58Aug 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.28Aug 13, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
69 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.