Serious-Contrast
0x129c8c891fbd3c533a295cad35606680b261fc8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.77
Realised
$1.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.35Mar 30, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.03Mar 7, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.28Mar 7, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.53Mar 7, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.26Mar 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.03Feb 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.60Feb 20, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.08Feb 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Feb 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.37Feb 19, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".