Costly-Kingdom
0x129d7b19f33a5bea2c80f118d4057f4ba0e94f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.65
Total PnL
$-3.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$0.26
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.39
- NO
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?$1.39Jan 17, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.58Jan 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.44Dec 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?$1.06Dec 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.34Dec 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?$1.07Dec 4, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill it Snow in New York City this December?$1.17Nov 28, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it Snow in New York City this December?$1.21Nov 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$4.39Nov 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.36Nov 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.44Nov 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.32Nov 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.51Nov 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$4.45Nov 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.45Nov 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?$1.48Oct 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBautista vs. Nurmagomedov$1.26Oct 25, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBautista vs. Nurmagomedov$1.28Oct 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.24Oct 12, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.26Oct 12, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".