Arctic-Plug
0x12a8e11e598182ebdf7c3e73e7156f2eb2b0d7f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$6.54
Total PnL
$-58.46
Realised
$4.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
383 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$3.06Jun 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$0.28Feb 25, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.23Feb 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.23Feb 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$21.71Feb 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$22.02Feb 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$17.68Feb 25, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$17.68Feb 25, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$16.98Feb 25, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$16.95Jan 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?$0.11Dec 2, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 40.5 on December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$1.00Nov 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? $1.00Nov 27, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.