Candid-Creche
0x12ad536b10f35ddc5dea97706959ceff339b855f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$1.13
Total PnL
$-114.20
Realised
$1.50
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.25
$-0.08
- YES
Will "Sentimental Value" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Antalyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Czechia vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?
32 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will PerfecT (Lee Seung-min) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
30 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$0.00May 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLValencia vs. Panathinaikos$0.23May 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLValencia vs. Panathinaikos$0.16May 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Panathinaikos$1.03May 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$0.99May 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$1.03May 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$0.10May 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$0.32May 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?$0.16May 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?$0.39May 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$1.03May 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$0.27May 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.03May 5, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?$1.03May 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$1.02May 5, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.02May 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$2.05May 3, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Samsunspor (-1.5)$9.09May 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$0.96May 2, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Samsunspor (-1.5)$1.03May 2, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".