Drafty-Guarantee
0x12afafc53456a43e721c0952c43fe38b86626124
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
465 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-404.26
- YES
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GRIZZLIES
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
431 shares @ 80.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-346.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 4?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
400 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
393 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Rockets
379 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-315.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-8.5)$45.38Mar 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Spurs$30.00Mar 11, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Thunder$75.38Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Thunder$43.72Mar 9, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem out by March 31?$43.72Mar 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Celtics$32.55Mar 5, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Celtics$50.00Mar 5, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$15.00Mar 4, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-8.5)$97.56Mar 4, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-8.5)$17.36Mar 4, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-8.5)$46.20Mar 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?$15.00Feb 27, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Feb 25, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$5.00Feb 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$15.00Feb 23, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Lakers$108.56Feb 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Lakers$56.45Feb 22, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$25.00Feb 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Feb 22, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".