Wallet profile

Rash-Council

0x12b9cabd49d13d56880ed5fe8ef8b6d67d583ec2

activity 39/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

39/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

183

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-55.0K

Realised

$-7.4K

Win rate

23%

35 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$5.0K

Trades

1

Buy share

100%

Window

May 19, 13:20 UTC → May 19, 13:13 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

53/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

23% win rate over 35 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

48 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

35 closed markets, 23% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$5.0K

1 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

low

1 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?

$5.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry27 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
48
Avg trade size
$1.3K
Top category
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 17, 06:04 UTC
Last active
Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
Win rate sample
35 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

updated 12:06:11 UTC·src:Polymarket Data