Warped-Idea
0x12bf05306ed02bc70223ccc56a5e3a35acd32174
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$12.89
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$967.50
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.19
$9.19
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
9657 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?
4800 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
4734 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-605.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?
3300 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?
2638 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-317.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?
1099 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-214.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
1013 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$2.50Mar 3, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$10.00Mar 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$0.05Mar 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$1.05Mar 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$1.70Mar 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$2.40Mar 3, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$37.75Mar 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$8.64Mar 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$8.64Mar 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$1.67Mar 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$51.30Mar 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$165.00Mar 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$83.81Mar 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$57.20Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$39.62Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$88.00Feb 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$88.00Feb 25, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$79.18Feb 25, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$47.19Feb 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$13.30Feb 25, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $45.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.