Close-Reverse
0x12bf41f0a9db33922280578a996ff28a3afe314e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$799.89
Realised
$-64.72
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
1094 shares @ 16.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.1K
$908.91
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
126 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$125.73
$31.43
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
115 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$115.23
$20.74
- YES
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
111 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$110.52
$87.31
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
104 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$104.12
$9.37
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
92 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$91.80
$44.98
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
83 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$82.51
$11.55
- YES
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$51.56
$42.28
- YES
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.39
$31.10
- YES
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
39 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.71
$29.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $24.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.