Trifling-Raiment
0x12c8375e013ba161e518ebabb582ba7314157251
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.99
Total PnL
$-341.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.43
$-0.57
- NO
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?
4600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
261 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 8, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$5.38Jan 12, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$20.00Sep 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$20.00Sep 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?$10.00Sep 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$61.75Sep 19, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by October meeting?$22.14Sep 17, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September meeting?$23.81Sep 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$17.00Sep 2, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMVirginia Tech vs. South Carolina$16.94Sep 1, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVirginia Tech vs. South Carolina$5.00Aug 31, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYVirginia Tech vs. South Carolina$9.00Aug 31, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?$10.00Aug 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?$5.00Aug 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$40.00Aug 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$5.00Aug 30, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Aug 30, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$20.00Aug 30, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.