Arctic-Lute
0x12cd09397bd00c628db4418c076c7c994e2b95ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-551.02
Realised
$17.40
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
948 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
666 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-56.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
379 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.69
- YES
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?
307 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-69.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
294 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
241 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
195 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
155 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
122 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
114 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Warsh say "Economy" or "Economics" or "Economic" 3+ times during swearing-in?$100.00May 22, 09:34 UTC
- MERGEWill Warsh say "Federal Reserve" 5+ times during swearing-in?$100.00May 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.07May 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.06May 22, 09:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Warsh say "Economy" or "Economics" or "Economic" 3+ times during swearing-in?$100.00May 22, 09:00 UTC
- SPLITWill Warsh say "Federal Reserve" 5+ times during swearing-in?$100.00May 22, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00May 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.04May 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06May 12, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.00Apr 26, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.00Apr 26, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$6.49Apr 26, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$6.66Apr 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$3.87Apr 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.15Apr 26, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.19Apr 26, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".