0x12d138dc45334a18aa7f856f95ab1f5d5d0af9c7
0x12d138dc45334a18aa7f856f95ab1f5d5d0af9c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.19
Total PnL
$-11.83
Realised
$-4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$3.19
$0.19
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Sep 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$2.00Sep 18, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Aug 11, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEM$BTC dips below $65k before September?$0.00Aug 11, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEM$BTC dips below $65k before September?$5.56Aug 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$4.00Aug 1, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY$BTC dips below $65k before September?$5.00Jul 30, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?$3.00Jul 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$4.46Jul 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Jul 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.