Round-Daffodil
0x12d15b8fe5a3f9516646c1af9bc268c2c9991ac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-91.27
Realised
$-1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
16 shares @ 34.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-5.04
- DO KWON
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
90 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.03
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
65 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
47 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022?
2 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$5.36Mar 10, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.36Mar 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.99Mar 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$4.99Mar 10, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$5.30Mar 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$2.80Mar 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.51Mar 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$24.73Mar 9, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.00Mar 9, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$5.00Mar 9, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$5.00Mar 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$8.80Mar 9, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$28.00Mar 9, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$78.93Mar 8, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$35.00Mar 5, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$15.08Mar 5, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NATO expand in 2022?$0.00Mar 5, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.00Dec 10, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".