Personal-Bake
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$152.2K
Total PnL
$-255.9K
Realised
$-130.6K
Win rate
69%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
80981 shares @ 55.4¢·now 80.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.0K
$20.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
55188 shares @ 81.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.5K
$589.35
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
71277 shares @ 40.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.2K
$-15.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
11600 shares @ 42.4¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.2K
$296.01
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
4168 shares @ 46.4¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.9K
$2.0K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
7071 shares @ 36.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.0K
$461.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
8140 shares @ 30.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.6K
$164.54
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
10131 shares @ 26.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.5K
$-234.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$110.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1637 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$12.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$0.10Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$233.86Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$0.50Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$515.64Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.8KJun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$360.80Jun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$208.80Jun 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$820.00Jun 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$820.00Jun 14, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$820.00Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$4.56Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.12Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$689.60Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$2.16Jun 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$95.31Jun 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$3.38Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$123.26Jun 14, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$47.2K
Trades
6
Buy share
65%
Window
May 23, 15:00 UTC → Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.8K@16¢Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.3K@28¢Jun 4, 06:17 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.6K@79¢May 25, 10:17 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$10.4K@98¢May 25, 08:07 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.8K@29¢May 24, 17:52 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$11.4K@93¢May 23, 14:58 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$47.2K
6 trades
Buy share
65%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
$11.4K · 24% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $822.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.