Personal-Bake
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$154.7K
Total PnL
$-256.7K
Realised
$-130.5K
Win rate
69%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
80812 shares @ 55.4¢·now 79.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.4K
$19.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
46531 shares @ 81.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.0K
$-879.67
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
71839 shares @ 40.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.0K
$-15.2K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5784 shares @ 87.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.2K
$87.56
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
11600 shares @ 42.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.2K
$-689.99
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
4168 shares @ 46.4¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.8K
$1.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
35456 shares @ 11.7¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.8K
$-352.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
13904 shares @ 26.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.7K
$37.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
7071 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.5K
$956.47
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
9140 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.4K
$550.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.2KJun 14, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$877.94Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$23.55Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.69Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.19Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$162.40Jun 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$160.00Jun 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$352.08Jun 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$141.60Jun 14, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$135.04Jun 14, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$82.49Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$877.20Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$193.60Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$76.25Jun 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8.2KJun 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$106.78Jun 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$176.05Jun 14, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$55.4K
Trades
7
Buy share
55%
Window
May 23, 15:00 UTC → Jun 14, 12:53 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8.2K@82¢Jun 14, 12:53 UTC
- BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.8K@16¢Jun 7, 19:04 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.3K@28¢Jun 4, 06:17 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.6K@79¢May 25, 10:17 UTC
- SELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$10.4K@98¢May 25, 08:07 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.8K@29¢May 24, 17:52 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$11.4K@93¢May 23, 14:58 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$15.0K
2 trades
30d volume
$55.4K
7 trades
Buy share
55%
Sample
limited
7 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
$11.4K · 21% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $424.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.