Plump-Marble
0x12de9a8f5145652a865101ebbb03325c77e1583d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in London between 41-42°F on February 1?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
143 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
114 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
70 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.00Nov 30, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.90Oct 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?$4.00Mar 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London between 41-42°F on February 1?$14.00Feb 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$9.00Jan 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$2.00Jan 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Jan 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$1.14Dec 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.00Dec 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.95Dec 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.60Dec 2, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".