Playful-Tissue
0x12e1494090b72885894f617bbc42e64578f051f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$28.75
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.34
$1.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14?
227 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.18
$-0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15?
105 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.89
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 14?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 15?
120 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.42
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 25?
1878 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-38.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 15?$0.00Jun 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?$0.03Jun 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?$0.01Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 15?$0.00Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14?$0.08Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14?$0.08Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14?$0.16Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14?$0.20Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?$0.19Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?$0.01Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?$0.10Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?$0.06Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?$0.10Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?$0.06Jun 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?$0.06Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?$0.94Jun 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?$0.10Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?$0.00Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?$0.01Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.