Quixotic-Tent
0x12e36c693b9887365ef8f9a2f6d90832be0dd794
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$24.90
Total PnL
$-14.45
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
70 shares @ 28.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$21.35
$1.75
- YES
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.95
$0.75
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
23 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$20.31Jun 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$13.89Jun 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$6.46Jun 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$9.55Jun 2, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.45Jun 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.29Jun 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$3.79Jun 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$5.69Jun 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$3.72Jun 2, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.32Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.88Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.20Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.72Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.24Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.08Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.30Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.28Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.93Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.16Jun 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.70Jun 2, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".