Delightful-Wrinkle
0x12e45413131aedc46b68a127354831300485dfc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$338.93
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
349 shares @ 55.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$329.79
$136.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?
1016 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.15
$-468.04
- NO
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
9308 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1921 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-344.34
- NO
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?
736 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- NO
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
700 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-308.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
254 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$736.89May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$73.15May 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$9.00May 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$76.68May 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$67.72May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$14.00May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$247.69May 16, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$104.99May 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$45.66May 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$215.38May 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$4.55May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$945.20May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$374.63May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$1.72May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$1.83May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$110.00May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$587.60May 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$24.20May 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$182.72May 16, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$54.00May 16, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $681.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".