Funny-Expectancy
0x12e86cb4b8f4f375110ff530a9eadbfd9c9bee8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$66.08
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
23 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$23.01
$0.07
- NO
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$11.94
$0.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.57
$0.03
- NO
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$10.48
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.07
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$11.00Apr 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$11.94Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.06Apr 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$11.54Apr 15, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.90Mar 19, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.01Mar 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.95Mar 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?$11.92Feb 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?$10.47Feb 28, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.80Feb 28, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$8.00Jan 25, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit $365 before 2026??$28.24Jan 25, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$40.00Jan 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$7.99Dec 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$39.96Dec 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit $365 before 2026??$6.92Dec 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit $365 before 2026??$21.27Dec 29, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.08Dec 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.65Dec 8, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$5.07Dec 8, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 4, 11:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".