Innocent-Elephant
0x12f62635a98465c36037b24f02945d6ecd31bd6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$96.19
Total PnL
$-12.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
96 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$96.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 4?
882 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 30?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 9?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$96.01Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$96.10Jun 8, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$96.00Jun 1, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$1.00Jun 1, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$94.09Jun 1, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$94.01May 28, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.00May 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$1.00May 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?$2.67May 28, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$98.10May 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$98.01May 23, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$98.21May 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$98.01May 17, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$98.10May 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$98.01May 13, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$98.10May 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$98.01May 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$98.10May 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$98.00May 4, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $73.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.