Sore-Biosphere
0x12f65c1fed02f72386b436af74c4c878575fe4f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?$0.14Dec 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.33Dec 15, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.03Dec 15, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?$1.40Dec 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?$0.55Dec 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?$0.66Dec 11, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.03Dec 3, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?$1.23Dec 3, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.24Dec 3, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.51Dec 3, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?$5.00Dec 3, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?$1.14Nov 25, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?$2.25Nov 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.20Nov 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.40Nov 8, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.30Oct 28, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$13.0KOct 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.0KOct 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.5KOct 12, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$9.7KOct 12, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $852.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.