Pricey-Eyrie
0x12fc46ab0883fb9a0052d6037d1c1eb333c05440
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
587 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tea Dating Advice be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
100 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.30
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
100 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.61Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.60Jul 17, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$102.10Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$102.01Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$103.10Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$103.01Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$103.10May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$103.01May 22, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$102.10May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$102.01May 19, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15?$103.10May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15?$103.01May 13, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$102.20May 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$102.01May 8, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$21.02May 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$21.00May 7, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$102.82May 7, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$102.00May 4, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$102.10May 4, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$102.01May 2, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $83.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.