Belated-Mapping
0x12fda392be4a64ae8669d129a708125cc7685fab
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-150.00
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
105 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-102.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?
105 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?
105 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-101.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
105 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-101.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?
105 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-101.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
105 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-79.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?
105 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-76.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?
100 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-94.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
100 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-97.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-95.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$100.00May 20, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 7?$0.50May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on May 15?$0.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.