Lean-Theory
0x1309de9fd9c65bbac31a1c2e4647616c79f2400e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-234.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Celtics$3.00Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$2.30Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Hawks$1.00Mar 16, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5$5.00Mar 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5$2.85Mar 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Bucks$1.50Mar 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-1.5)$5.00Mar 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-1.5)$2.30Mar 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5$2.35Mar 14, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-15.5)$5.00Mar 14, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5$5.00Mar 14, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5$2.20Mar 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-15.5)$2.30Mar 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic$2.00Mar 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pelicans$3.00Mar 11, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Spurs$5.93Mar 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Spurs$3.50Mar 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Hawks$2.50Mar 10, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Jazz$15.00Mar 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Jazz$4.50Mar 10, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".