Composed-Filth
0x130be269c6ce19fced08f0494dab378191214d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$470.09
Total PnL
$123.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
270 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$270.00
$0.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$200.09
$174.09
- YES
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?
661 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
560 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-36.40
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 43% and 45%?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?
384 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the Union for National Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?
360 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Chainlink reach $16 in March?
303 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Solana dip to $100 in May?
225 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$269.19Mar 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $16 in March?$1.40Mar 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$26.00Mar 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.20Mar 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 21?$210.00Mar 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 21?$207.90Dec 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.18Nov 21, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 43% and 45%?$1.02Nov 10, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$36.40Oct 31, 15:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 30, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$99.20Oct 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$129.35Oct 29, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$230.00Oct 29, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $3.30 on October 6?$280.00Oct 29, 04:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 29, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 28, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$98.90Oct 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$1.98Oct 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$126.59Oct 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$228.85Oct 15, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $258.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.