Happy-Crab
0x130d2bdbaf0957889f170cc25d8b2aa85b4e352a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$19.35
Total PnL
$-445.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.01
$-9.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?$5.02Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$5.07Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?$5.08Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?$5.03Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$5.95Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?$6.67Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$5.06Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$5.06Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?$5.43Jul 27, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?$7.25Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 27?$6.25Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$5.04Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?$5.09Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?$5.06Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$5.06Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?$9.09Jul 26, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 26?$7.35Jul 26, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 26?$6.58Jul 26, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 28?$5.06Jul 26, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$5.13Jul 26, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.