Back-Igloo
0x1321d986c53c5a76d4d75551911cf3b6e15a45dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.04
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Colston Loveland be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
2448 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on December 7?
880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on December 10?
736 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
726 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on December 7?
520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.52
- NO CHANGE
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- NO
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
304 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
274 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on December 7?
240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- NO
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$6.79Jan 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$3.60Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colston Loveland be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.05Jan 26, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colston Loveland be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.40Jan 26, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$0.05Jan 11, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$0.15Jan 8, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?$11.15Jan 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?$3.77Dec 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.60Dec 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?$0.13Dec 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$19.02Dec 11, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.62Dec 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on December 10?$0.05Dec 11, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Dec 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.20Dec 11, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.05Dec 11, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on December 10?$0.05Dec 11, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".