Unknown-Peen
0x132f1e367605d82a5dceb7bc688556f79f270e6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-560.59
Realised
$0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
8591 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.17
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
2867 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-315.36
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
650 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-136.50
- YES
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
250 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.33
- NO
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24?
97 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2022$0.00
$-58.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?$0.00Oct 21, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$0.78Oct 21, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in July?$10.00Oct 21, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$470.00Oct 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 21, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 20, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.15Jul 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$111.15Jul 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$245.50Jul 19, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$95.50Jul 19, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.02Jul 19, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.02Jul 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$198.00Jul 19, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$0.03Jul 19, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$131.56Jul 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$4.94Jul 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$372.12Jul 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$26.33Jul 13, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.