Wallet digest

profitable

Activity score

100/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

109

Open notional

$13.02

Total PnL

$218.15

Realised

$1.2K

Win rate

85%

91 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 109

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
8 shares @ 25.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$8.02
$5.96
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
5 shares @ 62.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$5.00
$1.86
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
799 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-74.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
497 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-18.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
486 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-22.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
156 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-44.40
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
139 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-26.62
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
137 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-15.63
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
137 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-8.15
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
134 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-28.66

Recent activity

MAKER_REBATE$0.33Jan 19, 00:05 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.24Jan 18, 17:23 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.16Jan 18, 17:23 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.40Jan 18, 17:22 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.72Jan 18, 17:21 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.71Jan 18, 17:19 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.52Jan 18, 17:19 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.28Jan 18, 17:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.59Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.03Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.29Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.27Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.70Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.72Jan 18, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.05Jan 18, 17:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.56Jan 18, 17:16 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.27Jan 18, 17:15 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.69Jan 18, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.55Jan 18, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.14Jan 18, 17:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry57 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk39 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $1.77
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 18, 16:13 UTC
Last active: Jan 19, 00:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 91 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:51:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data