Deadly-Sculpture
0x13327b8b3d338569386bce68e0a1ea3634a6762d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-616.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
525 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?
255 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
$EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$5b one week after launch?
164 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia rally on October 23?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?$121.09Jul 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?$120.08Jul 6, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$112.61Jul 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$100.00May 10, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?$100.10May 10, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?$100.01May 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?$1.07May 1, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$109.91Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$109.52Apr 6, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $1,000 in March?$109.52Apr 6, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1,000 in March?$108.32Mar 5, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$10.99May 4, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?$21.84Jan 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Lions$19.00Jan 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Chiefs$10.00Jan 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$52.26Jan 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?$10.00Dec 10, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLPudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?$88.33Dec 10, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$50.00Nov 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$5.00Nov 23, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $39.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.