Complex-Codon
0x1342bee6387f6e70772012865cdde3e9803bc430
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.50
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-3.16
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?
46 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$45.98
$22.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 3?
15 shares @ 42.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$14.78
$8.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.42
$4.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
17 shares @ 20.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$6.21
$2.80
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 4?
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$6.12
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
878 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-176.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 10?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 21?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 3?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 4?$6.32Aug 3, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?$9.00Aug 3, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?$13.77Aug 2, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?$10.25Aug 2, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 3?$6.48Aug 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$10.00Aug 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$5.90Aug 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?$5.42Aug 2, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1?$25.00Aug 2, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 1?$20.17Aug 1, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$6.23Aug 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 1?$3.10Aug 1, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 1?$1.27Aug 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 31?$9.96Jul 31, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 1?$1.23Jul 31, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on July 31?$20.00Jul 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 1?$2.07Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 1?$2.73Jul 31, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1?$5.71Jul 31, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 31?$2.61Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.