Incompatible-Paperwork
0x1344e9516de88f0cff819400c888617261fc5f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$-1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
22500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
19319 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 106.5 billion views by January 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 463 Million subscribers by January 31?
5253 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
2633 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
1879 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-990.00
- YES
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$32.00Jan 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$100.00Jan 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$50.00Jan 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$50.00Jan 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$44.38Jan 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$237.90Jan 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$95.00Jan 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$200.00Jan 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$100.00Jan 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$100.00Jan 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$200.00Jan 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$100.00Jan 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$100.00Jan 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$200.00Jan 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$200.00Jan 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$200.00Jan 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$3.4KJan 27, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $332.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.