Pale-Garage
0x1352c76833bc06e04814ce32bb48a7f182972f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$-9.0K
Win rate
1%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 28?
9501 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?
9501 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 28?
9501 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
660 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-347.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?
513 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-504.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
363 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-196.14
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
292 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-154.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
264 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
259 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-147.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 1?
258 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?$9.29Aug 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.32Aug 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.02Aug 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 2?$8.89Aug 2, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 2?$8.04Aug 2, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?$3.70Jul 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?$1.04Jul 26, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 26, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 27?$1.04Jul 26, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?$1.04Jul 26, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 26?$1.03Jul 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 26?$1.05Jul 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 26?$1.05Jul 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 26?$1.05Jul 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?$1.04Jul 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?$1.04Jul 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 26?$4.67Jul 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 26?$1.04Jul 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?$1.04Jul 25, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
200 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $161.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.