Bustling-Scene
0x1355fbfd5f3c3d8da9d8227964fc185f63686591
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.2K
Realised
$28.6K
Win rate
96%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
56388 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-322.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
54421 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-61.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
42500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-52.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
31694 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-730.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
30537 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
28448 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-111.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
26626 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-269.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
24638 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-627.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
20977 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-276.55
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.73Feb 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$21.94Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$8.00Feb 25, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$11.84Feb 25, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$11.09Feb 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$2.72Feb 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$6.17Feb 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$6.99Feb 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$10.00Feb 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$4.00Feb 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$88.60Feb 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$1.50Feb 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$7.40Feb 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$4.91Feb 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$119.99Feb 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$100.00Feb 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$1.2KFeb 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$3.23Feb 25, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
57 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $400.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.