Tragic-Exaggeration
0x13573e23a41894325a9bf06cd392b0dcf76995f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
17200 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-419.99
- NO
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?
9350 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
6118 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-985.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 4?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 4?
2000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-179.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1?
1077 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.62
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
1061 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 3?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 4?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 1?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.03Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$89.31Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on April 6?$10.46Apr 6, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on April 6?$0.04Apr 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?$2.3KJan 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$1.1KJan 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$1.2KJan 10, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.5KJan 3, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.3KJan 3, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$180.00Dec 30, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$100.00Dec 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$405.00Dec 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$145.34Dec 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$50.18Dec 29, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$77.82Dec 29, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.0KDec 29, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$350.00Dec 29, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.5KDec 29, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$142.40Dec 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$2.70Dec 28, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $253.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.