Posh-Access
0x135cefcd9e95ce59856104ca56a82ecae2954ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-613.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
439 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-294.00
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
271 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.27
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?
181 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-94.00
- NO
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
130 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.60
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-39.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$40.47Jul 6, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$86.47Jul 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$100.27Mar 1, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.10Mar 1, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?$294.00Jan 16, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$294.12Jan 12, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$200.00Jan 9, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$200.20Jan 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$200.00Dec 29, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$200.00Dec 28, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$146.00Dec 26, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Suns (-6.5)$145.83Dec 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Suns (-6.5)$70.00Dec 23, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?$94.00Nov 24, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?$80.88Nov 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?$55.00Nov 23, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $126.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.