Wrathful-Accommodation
0x137576ae9a9aa9279b714b9ad54282ddd5347d07
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$47.20
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.75
$1.25
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.15
- PACERS
Thunder vs. Pacers
2300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-621.00
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?
2300 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-414.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?
1100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-792.00
- LIGHTNING
Blackhawks vs. Lightning
800 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-584.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
350 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
220 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$2.51Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$43.50Jul 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$0.09Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$60.00Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$59.64Jun 19, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$50.00Jun 1, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.90May 27, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$48.22May 6, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$80.00May 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$72.00Apr 15, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$60.00Apr 15, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$18.00Mar 22, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$30.00Mar 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$28.98Mar 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$58.32Feb 24, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$70.00Feb 24, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$66.50Jan 29, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$40.00Jan 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$10.12Jan 15, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Predators$1.7KDec 18, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $186.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.