Realistic-Angel
0x1391ca7951a43e6ff175b84c680a595a4568055f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-13.93
Realised
$-10.88
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2515 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$-1.26
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?
601 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$599.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
328 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$327.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.76
$0.01
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.89
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.25
$-0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.02
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.64
$0.75
- NO
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.50
$-0.01
- NO
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$328.01Jul 24, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.1KJul 24, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$911.09Jul 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?$600.04Jul 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$411.03Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$1.13Jul 22, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$4.51Jul 22, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.5KJul 22, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.44Jul 22, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 10?$55.05Jul 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.4KJul 19, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$869.47Jul 19, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$311.40Jul 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.4KJul 9, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $855.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.