Well-Groomed-Boxspring
0x139b1ee842ed349c2b43b2260385b3ae41ad2db1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$94.03
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?
9000 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?
8000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?
4000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?
4000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?
3999 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-719.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23?
2000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-820.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?
2000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-920.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?
2000 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-630.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?
2000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-540.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 26?
797 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-111.54
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.59Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$63.12Jul 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$126.81Jul 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$2.70Jul 3, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$5.20Jul 3, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$1.04Jul 3, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$4.75Jul 3, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$19.12Jul 3, 02:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.42Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jul 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?$116.00Jul 2, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$1.50Jul 2, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$24.30Jul 2, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$21.67Jul 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$1.08Jul 2, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?$102.48Jun 30, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?$42.00Jun 30, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?$46.21Jun 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?$3.70Jun 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 30?$1.39Jun 30, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $164.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.